We do not inherit the Earth from our parents, we borrow it from our children

  • Published as “We need to take steps to be better ancestors”

At a time when Trump, Putin and many others are doing everything they can to jeopardize the wellbeing of future generations, we need to work to protect them

Dr. Trevor Hancock

18 February 2025

701 words

Last month I began to explore a set of aphorisms that I find helpful in addressing the immense challenges of the 21st century. This month, I turn to an aphorism that became popular in the 1970s – “we do not inherit the Earth from our parents, we borrow it from our chldren”.

Often attributed to Duwamish Chief Seattle in the 19th century and seemingly popularised by Wendell Berry in the early 1970s, this is, simply put, the embodiment of the principle of inter-generational rights and justice.

That is, of course, hardly a new idea; as the attribution to Chief Seattle suggests, it is rooted in Indigenous values and beliefs. Many claim it goes back to the ‘Seventh Generation’ way of thinking attributed to the Great Law of the Haudenosaunee (Iroquois) Confederacy. Since a generation is roughly 20 – 25 years, seven generations takes us out about 150 years.

A modern wording of this concept forms the fundamental principle of sustainable development put forward in 1987 by the Brundtland Commission: To meet the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.

These ideas are now – finally – beginning to find their way into public policy and even in to law. Wales led the way a decade ago, introducing a Wellbeing of Future Generations Act. The Act requires public bodies in Wales – including government ministries, local authorities, local Health Boards and a number of other public authorities – to think about and report on the long-term impact of their decisions.

In addition, the Act established the position of Commissioner for Future Generations. The Commissioner describes his role as “to be the guardian of future generations” and to “provide advice and support to government and public bodies”, as well as to report on progress.

These ideas have also been taken up at the UN, with the Secretary General, Antinio Guterres,  championing the focus on future generations. His 2021 report ‘Our Common Agenda’ highlighted the importance of considering the needs and perspectives of future generations in shaping the future of global governance. Then in 2023 he released a series of Policy Briefs, the first of which was entitled ‘To Think and Act for Future Generations’, and established the UN Futures Lab. It is a global network that helps the UN system use futures thinking and strategic foresight in planning, policymaking, and decision-making.

In September 2024 the UN hosted a Summit of the Future which, among other things, resulted in a Pact for the Future and a Declaration for Future Generations. The Pact committed the international community to “protect the needs and interests of present and future generations.” After the Summit, Mr. Guterres announced he would soon be creating the position of a UN Envoy for Future Generations. 

Meanwhile, on the legal front, Ecojustice noted in an October 2024 press release that the Sabin Center for Climate Change Law at Columbia University reported that 630 new climate lawsuits were filed around the world between July 2020 and December 2022. “Courts around the world”, Ecojustice noted, “are increasingly ruling that climate change poses an existential threat to our most cherished human rights and ordering governments to set and implement science-based reductions targets.”

Indeed, the International Court of Justice just completed hearings on the obligations of states in respect of climate change, while here in Canada, the Ontario Court of Appeal ruled in October 2024 that Ontario’s actions to weaken its climate targets are subject to challenge under the constitutional rights of Ontario youth and future generations to life, security of the person, and equality. 

At a time when Trump, Putin and many others are doing everything they can to jeopardise the wellbeing of future generations, particularly by prioritising fossil fuel use, there is no more important task than working to protect future generations. We need to demand that both the federal and the B.C. governments pass a Wellbeing of Future Generations Act and appoint a Commissioner for Future Generations.

At a local level, the CRD  and local municipalities should commit to working with young people to help shape the policies they need for a healthy, just and sustainable future. As Jonas Salk once noted, “our greatest responsibility is to be good ancestors.”

© Trevor Hancock, 2025

thancock@uvic.ca

Dr. Trevor Hancock is a retired professor and senior scholar at the                                            University of Victoria’s School of Public Health and Social Policy

There is only one Earth: Deal with it

Despite the fevered dreams of Elon Musk and others, there is no ‘Planet B,’ which means we need to drastically reduce our ecological footprint

Dr. Trevor Hancock

21 January 2025

694 words

I have spent much of my life working as an educator, whether as a professor teaching graduate students or as an in international consultant working with communities, organisations and governments around the world. Over the years I have come across a number of aphorisms that I turn to again and again to make important points.

An aphorism, the dictionaries tell us, is a short saying that is memorable and embodies a general truth, astute observation or principle. So in my monthly columns I will explore some of those aphorisms that provide important guidance as we address together the many challenges of the 21st century.

Following one of those aphorisms (think globally, act locally), wherever possible I will link the broader dimensions of the issue to local action, with examples from elsewhere as well as examples or implications for action here in the Greater Victoria Region.

The first aphorism is one that really started my journey into population health and ecological activism. In 1972, the first UN Conference on the Human Environment was held in Stockholm, and Maurice Strong, the Canadian Secretary-General of the Conference, commissioned Barbara Ward and René Dubos to produce what became the unofficial conference book – ‘Only One Earth’.

That title really says it all. Despite the fevered dreams of Elon Musk and others of his ilk, there is no ‘Planet B’. There is just this one Earth, our only home, which Carl Sagan memorably described as a pale blue dot hanging in the immensity of space. So we had better learn how to deal with that reality, we had better learn how to live within the limits of this one Earth.

And yet that is not how we live today, neither globally nor, especially, in Canada. The Global Footprint Network tells us that globally we have an Ecological Footprint equivalent to 1.7 Earths. In other words, we use the equivalent of 1.7  planet’s worth of bioproductive capacity every year (and note this does not even take into account the loss of biodiversity or the impact of persistent organic pollutants or plastic nano-particles that are are not included in the calculation of the Footprint).

This is clearly unsustainable, as evidenced by the fact that we have already passed the planetary boundary for six of the nine key Earth systems needed to sustain life on Earth.

Canada, as a high-income country, has a far greater Footprint, around five Earths; if every country lived as we do, we would need four more Earths. That is clearly not going to happen, so we need to become what can be called a ‘One Planet’ country, taking only our fair share of the Earth’s bioproductive capacity and resources.

Think of that for a moment: This means we need to reduce our ecological footprint by 80 percent, as rapidly as possible. Now the good news, in a sense, is that our carbon footprint, largely the result of fossil fuel consumption, accounts for more than 60 percent of both the global and the Canadian Footprint. Which means if we can address that issue, we can markedly reduce our Footprint.

That is why it is particularly stupid, at a time when the UN Secretary General has said that our current climate path is “a road to ruin”, that the fossil fuel industry and its supporters in Canada are calling for an expansion of fossil fuel extraction and export (and thus consumption) to counter Trump’s attacks on Canada and on the environment.

The really good news is that there is a growing movement to reduce our Footprint. The Global Footprint Network works with countries, regions and cities to reduce their footprints; if you go to their website you can find case studies under the ‘Our Work’ tab, all of which begin with measuring the Ecological Footprint.

That has also been done right here in Saanich, as part of the One Planet Saanich project initiated by Bioregional, a UK-based non-profit. (Our footprint, using a somewhat different methodology, is about four planets, still way too big.) That work is now being championed in BC by One Earth Living (https://oneplanetbc.com/), which is helping communities deal with the fact that there is only one Earth.

© Trevor Hancock, 2025

thancock@uvic.ca

Dr. Trevor Hancock is a retired professor and senior scholar at the                                            University of Victoria’s School of Public Health and Social Policy

Towards a Wellbeing society and a healthy One Planet community

I have written just over 500 columns over the past 10 years.This is my last weekly column, from now on I will be writing monthly colums, the last Sunday of each month

A goal worth pursuing: “achieving equitable health now and for future generations without breaching ecological limits.”

Dr. Trevor Hancock

23 December 2024

701 words

Throughout my career I have focused on the wellbeing of people in our communities and around the world, and on the state of the Earth’s ecological systems, which are the bedrock of our wellbeing. Recently, this has been encapsulated in the World Health Organization’s concept of a Wellbeing society, one that is “committed to achieving equitable health now and for future generations without breaching ecological limits.”

I strongly believe that this should be the highest aspiration of a society and the central purpose of governance.  As I noted in last week’s column, this requires a shift in the core values that underpin our modern society, and in particular our economy.

An important part of that shift is to re-align the private sector from its focus on making money to a focus on its role in achieving the societal purpose of wellbeing. In part that requires changing the purpose of a corporation. In a 2002 opinion piece in the independent news outlet Common Dreams, Robert Hinkley, an American corporate securities lawyer, wrote that after 23 years he realized that corporate law, “in its current form, actually inhibits executives and corporations from being socially responsible.”

His proposed remedy was simple; he suggests adding “26 words to corporate law”, which would create a “Code for Corporate Citizenship.” While a corporation “would still have a duty to make money for shareholders”, he would add “but not at the expense of the environment, human rights, the public safety, the communities in which the corporation operates or the dignity of its employees.”

But more broadly it also means changing the purpose of government and the broader process of societal and community governance, where governance, as UN Habitat puts it, is the “the sum of the many ways individuals and institutions, public and private, plan and manage the common affairs of the city” – or any other level of society.

Recently the International Standards Organization created “the first ever international benchmark for good governance.” Applicable to all organisations, including governments and corporations, it is intended to ensure that “organizations act with purpose, sustainability and society in mind.” It should be made a requirement for all governments and corporations in Canada.

The federal, provincial and territorial Cabinets should take as their central purpose the role of ensuring sustainable and equitable wellbeing for current and future generations. They should establish SHE (sustainable, healthy, equitable) policy units at the Cabinet level and in each Ministry to guide wellbeing policy – including a Wellbeing budget – and follow the lead of Wales by adopting a Wellbeing of Future Generations Act.

This Act establishes the right of future generations and puts planetary health and human wellbeing at the heart of governance. It requires ministries and national, regional and local authorities to establish and report on their sustainability goals, and creates the position of a Commissioner of Future Wellbeing to monitor and report on progress.

However, I am not confident that we can expect action will be led from the top, given the close ties between business and government. Much of my work has focused on the local level, on helping communities across Canada and around the world think about how to become healthy and sustainable.

Locally we have the example of One Planet Saanich, which works with organisations in Saanich on ways to reduce their ecological footprint to be equivalent to one planet’s worth of biocapacity, instead of the approximately four planets we use today, and to meet the ten criteria for One Planet Living established by Bioregional, a UK-based non-profit consultancy. But we are not really talking seriously about this.

At the regional level, here and across Canada and around the world, we need a well-organized and ongoing community-wide conversation about the future we want. What do we have to change to ensure a healthy, just and sustainable future for all who live here, for our descendants and for others around the world?

That is the aim of a small local NGO I have established, Conversations for a One Planet Region, and it is one of the areas I will focus on in my monthly columns. I can think of no more worthwhile and important task, and invite you to contribute to that work.

© Trevor Hancock, 2024

thancock@uvic.ca

Dr. Trevor Hancock is a retired professor and senior scholar at the                                            University of Victoria’s School of Public Health and Social Policy

We need a society in which people, communities and the planet are valued

  • Published as ‘True wealth is much more than money and material goods

It includes the richness of our collective human development, the strength of our social capital and the health of our planetary systems

Dr. Trevor Hancock

17 December 2024

703 words

Last week I pointed to neoliberal ideology and economics as the fundamental flaw that has led us to ignore all the warning signs – in particular, that there are limits to growth – and instead pursue economic growth and increased wealth at all costs. That ideology also leads to a hyper-individualized, hyper-competitive, dog-eat-dog society that denies the benefits of community, the public sector, the environment and the common good.

Unfortunately, our current economic system is rooted in a narrow, short-sighted and incomplete understanding of what constitutes wealth. True wealth is not just the money and the stuff we accumulate, but three other forms of wealth or capital – human, social and natural capital. Together, they form what the UN calls inclusive wealth.

Human capital is the sum of our individual capacities, which includes not only our health status but our knowledge, skills and experience, our capacity for innovation and creativity, our capacity for caring and compassion. But while human capital is important, it does not stand alone, any more than individuals stand alone. We are a social species, and that sociability has been a key factor in our evolutionary success.

So a second form of wealth, closely linked to human capital, is social capital. While human capital is vested in individuals, social capital is all about the connections between us. Those connections begin with the informal web of social ties to family, friends, neighbours, work-mates and others that knit us together into communities.

There are also more formal forms of social capital: The massive investments we make in social programs – education, health, social services, unemployment insurance, recreation services and so on – that underpin our daily lives. Then there is what I call ‘invisible’ social capital’; the legal, political and constitutional infrastructure that previous generations spent centuries creating, helping us govern ourselves largely peacefully.

But all of this is underpinned by what is beyond doubt the most important form of wealth: the Earth’s natural systems that are the bedrock not just of our existence, but of life on Earth.  Scientists have identified nine Earth systems that are critical to life, but have also found we have crossed six of the nine planetary boundaries, meaning we have been depleting this vital form of wealth.

So our true wealth is much more than money and stuff, the stunted, distorted, narrow understanding of wealth extolled by neoliberalism. It includes the richness of our collective human development, the strength of our social capital and the health of our planetary systems. Real capitalists don’t just build one form of wealth – economic capital – by exploiting and harming the other forms of capital; they build all four forms of capital – human, social, natural and economic – simultaneously. Unfortunately, there are not many real capitalists out there.

But a healthy future for all requires us to reject the harmful values and ideology of neoliberalism and find alternative values and a way of life that is fit for purpose in the 21st century. We need to recognize and apply the wisdom and truth of these words from the World Wide Fund for Nature, in their 2014 Living Planet Report: “Ecosystems sustain societies that create economies. It does not work the other way around.”

Living in accord with this simple principle will require a transformation in the distorted core values that underpin our modern economy, society and way of life, as I noted in a series of columns in June and July. The core values we need are, first, a reverence for the Earth and all it contains, an awareness of a connection to nature that is, at its heart, spiritual.

Second, we need a re-awakening of our sense of kinship with and shared responsibility for our fellow humans, a renewed sense of community. Third, we needto recognise that the economy is subservient to and in service to people and the planet, not the other way around.

These are the value shifts we need if we are to achieve a wellbeing society in which everyone thrives while we remain within planetary boundaries. Next week, in my final weekly column before I transition to a monthly column, I will look at how that might be achieved as a society and locally, here in the Greater Victoria Region.

© Trevor Hancock, 2024

thancock@uvic.ca

Dr. Trevor Hancock is a retired professor and senior scholar at the                                            University of Victoria’s School of Public Health and Social Policy

What stands in the way of a healthy future for all?

This is my 500th column After 10 years of weekly columns, I will switch to writing a monthly column in the New Year.

  • Published asLife expectancy has grown since 1970, but so has inequality”

In 2023, the bottom half of the world’s population got less than 10 per cent of global income, while the richest 10 per cent captured more than half

Dr. Trevor Hancock

10 December 2024

701 words

As I noted last week, I am committed to helping to create a healthy future for all. But I am greatly concerned that we are not on the right path to do that.

When I look back over the length of my career, it is clear that in many ways we have created a healthier future. One important indicator is life expectancy. According to Our World in Data, in 1970, when I was still in medical school, life expectancy at birth was 56.3 years globally and 72.6 years in Canada. Just over fifty years later, in 2023, it was 73.2 years globally, a gain of almost 17 years, while it was 10 years longer, at 82.6 years, in Canada.

While some of that gain is due to better health care – especially, globally, in improved maternal and child health – most of that gain is due to other factors: Improved sanitation, clean drinking water, adequate, safe and healthy food, improved education, better housing and so on. Together, these factors constitute the social determinants of health.

These gains largely result from economic development. World Bank data, cited by Our World in Data, shows the world GDP (in constant 2017 dollars) grew from $26.23 trillion in 1970 to $139.26 trillion in 2022, a 5.3-fold increase. So even though the world’s population roughly doubled over that period, from 4 billion in 1974 to 8 billion in 2023, global average GDP per person nonetheless grew; from $7,100 in 1970 to to $17,527 in 2022, an increase of almost 2.5 times.

But while this meant that many people, communities and nations could afford the better food, housing and education they needed, it has also resulted in a great increase in demand for those and other products. As a result, economic development has been an uneven two-edged sword – we have reaped the benefits, but we have sown a set of costs for future generations. Or as the Rockefeller-Lancet Commission on Planetary Health put it, we have “mortgaged the health of future generations to realise economic and development gains in the present.”

One of those costs has been high levels of inequality, both between and within countries. The latest data from the World Inequality Lab (WIL) shows that in 2023 the bottom half of the world’s population got less than 10 percent of global income, while the richest 10 percent captured more than half. In regional terms, the average income in North America is fifteen times greater than in Sub-Saharan Africa,

In Canada, the WIL reports, the top 10 percent earned 36 percent of national income in 2023.  While better than the global average, that level of inequality is “far higher than during the 1970s and even into the mid-1980s”; In 1985, for example, “the top 10 percent of earners earned 29 percent of national income.” So there has been a marked concentration of income – and thus of wealth and power – in the past 40 years or so.

Another important consequence of both population and economic growth and the resultant increase in demand is what the UN calls a triple planetary crisis of climate change, biodiversity loss and pollution. That is in turn part of a wider crisis in which, leading Earth systems scientists tell us, we have crossed planetary boundaries for six of nine key Earth systems (including the three in the triple crisis) and are approaching two of the remaining three.

Moreover, the world’s Ecological Footprint, which was equivalent to one Earth’s worth of annual bio-productive capacity in 1972, had risen to an un sustainable demand for 1.7 Earth’s worth by 2022.

So while economic development and growth have been a great benefit in many ways, that is no longer the case except in low-income countries, where many people still live in poverty, with their basic needs unmet. Indeed, what now stands in the way of a healthy future for all is continued old-school economic development in high and middle-income countries, and the distorted societal values that underlie this unhealthy neoliberal economic system.

That, and the creation of a positive alternative society and economy, is my focus for the next couple of weeks, and in the monthly columns that I will be writing, starting in the New Year.

© Trevor Hancock, 2024

thancock@uvic.ca

Dr. Trevor Hancock is a retired professor and senior scholar at the                                            University of Victoria’s School of Public Health and Social Policy

Committed to a healthy future for all

  • Published as ‘Desire for better public policy sparked early ‘green’ parties’

The Values Party in New Zealand and the Ecology Party (initially called the People Party) in the U.K. were the world’s first two ecological political parties

Dr. Trevor Hancock

3 December 2024

699 words

Last week I wrote about three major shifts in perspective that took me from being a family physician to a broader concern with the health of communities, of societies and indeed of the global population and the planet itself. In my concluding major paper for my Master’s degree at the University of Toronto in the late 1970s, I identified two major principles that have guided my career ever since.

The first is ecological sanity. If you understand that there really is only one Earth, that we are one hundred percent dependent on the Earth’s natural systems for our very existence, and that there are indeed limits to growth – key points to emerge from the First UN Conference on the Environment in 1972 – then it would be insane to damage or destroy those natural systems. And yet, we do. So protecting and improving the health of the population – which is the raison d’être of public health – means protecting and restoring the Earth’s natural systems

The second principle is social justice, which has long been a guiding principle in public health. After all, public health’s goal is ‘Health for All’, where ‘All’ implies equity, fairness and inclusion. It means that while working to improve the health of the population or the community as a whole, public health particularly seeks to improve the health of the least healthy. And that means protecting the most vulnerable from health hazards, be they environmental, social or commercial.

Incidentally, looking back a few short years later, I realised I should also have included peace and non-violence as a third principle. There is no health in the midst of conflict, violence and war, as we so readily see today all over the world.

But I also became very aware of the role of public policy and governance – and ultimately, of political thought and action – in the creation of the conditions for health (or for illness). That led me to help develop what became internationally important ideas about ‘healthy public policy’ – public policy in all sectors, including in particular economic policy, that is good for health – and Healthy Cities; how to organise the governance of cities in ways that improve the health of the population.

That awareness also led to me becoming politically active in the 1980s. In its 1972 report ‘Blueprint for Survival’, The Ecologist noted: “Governments . . . are . . . refusing to face the relevant facts”, and called for “a national movement to act at a national level, and if need be to assume political status and contest the next general election.”

That made sense to me, and so when this call was answered in 1973, seven years before the German Green Party was founded, by the creation of the world’s first two ecological political parties – the Values Party in New Zealand and the Ecology Party (initially called the People Party) in the UK – I was there.

I became an area organiser for the People Party and attended the founding convention in Coventry in 1974, before coming to Canada in 1975. Here I began to look around for the equivalent and became part of a network of people working to establish an ecological political party in Canada. Eventually we succeeded and I became the first leader, helping to run the 50 candidates we needed in 1984 – I was one of them – to become a registered party (although I did not remain involved in the Green Party after about 1986).

There is one final important shift in perspective that I underwent in the mid-1970s, when I was introduced to ‘futurism’ by a fellow activist in the People Party. I quickly came to appreciate that good futures thinking is not about predicting the future, but in helping people think about the future they want (and the future they want to avoid) and then helping them to try to realise that future. 

In one way or another, then, I have been involved in thinking about and working on the health of the population and the environmental, social, economic, political and other determinants of health for over 50 years, and I remain committed to helping to create a healthy future for all.

© Trevor Hancock, 2024

thancock@uvic.ca

Dr. Trevor Hancock is a retired professor and senior scholar at the                                            University of Victoria’s School of Public Health and Social Policy

Looking back, looking forward

This is my 498th column and I am grateful for the platform the TC has provided me. But even though it has been a lot of fun — and a lot of work — all good things must come to an end.

Dr. Trevor Hancock

26 November 2024

700 words

Ten years ago, the Times Colonist (TC) published an editorial on preventive health care. As a public health physician focused on the health of the population I responded with a commentary in which I praised their focus on prevention but suggested that it did not go far enough. “Health care”, I wrote, “even preventive health care, is a relatively small contributor to the health of the population. This is because the main determinants of health lie beyond health care, in our communities and in our environmental, social, economic and political systems.”

I also suggested I could write more on this topic and Editor in Chief Dave Obee invited me to come in and talk with them. The result was this weekly column, which began on December 17th 2014. The deal was sealed with a handshake, we never had a formal contract, and I have been very impressed both with that approach and with the fact that the TC has never once tried to push me to write about something, or not write about something, or even edit my work.

This is my 498th column and I am grateful for the platform the TC has provided me. But even though it has been a lot of fun – and a lot of work – all good things must come to an end. I have decided that I will stop my columns at the end of the year, soon after I hit the 500 mark.

So in my remaining columns I want to first look back to the influences that have shaped my thinking and thus this body of work. Then I will look at what gets in the way of a healthy future for all, ending by laying out an agenda for a healthy future. This will require the creation of a wellbeing society that works within planetary boundaries, and at the local level the creation of healthy One Planet communities.

If you have been a regular reader of my columns you will know that while I trained in medicine, I later expanded my work to community health, healthy communities, societal wellbeing, planetary health and governance for health – public health, in short. Three major shifts in perspective took me there.

Looking back, I realised almost 30 years ago that one major shift in perspective lay in the year I spent in 1966/7 as an 18-year old volunteer teacher in Lundu, a small town in Sarawak, before I went to medical school. Only after I had spent over a decade as an international consultant helping cities and towns around the world learn how to create healthy cities and communities did I realise – when I went back to Sarawak in 1996 – that Lundu was where I first learned that health did not come from medicine alone, but from the community as a whole.

A second major shift in perspective came while I was still a medical student in London. I had started reading a new and somewhat radical magazine, The Ecologist. That made me very aware of the First UN Conference on the Environment, which was held in Stockholm in 1972.

A key conference book told us there is ‘Only One Earth’, while the Club of Rome told us there are ‘Limits to Growth’. But even more important, for me, The Ecologist published a special report for the Stockholm conference, Blueprint for Survival.

In it they were blunt in stating “if current trends are allowed to persist, the breakdown of society and the irreversible disruption of the life-support systems on this planet, . . . certainly within the lifetimes of our children, are inevitable.” That helped me to begin to recognise the health implications of global ecological changes.

A third major shift came when I came to practice family medicine Canada in 1975. The year before, the federal government’s Lalonde Report recognised that health care was not the most important determinant of health, stating “future improvements in the level of health of Canadians lie mainly in improving the environment, moderating self-imposed risks and adding to our knowledge of human biology.” That helped open my eyes to the importance of looking beyond health care and moved me towards a career in public health.

© Trevor Hancock, 2024

thancock@uvic.ca

Dr. Trevor Hancock is a retired professor and senior scholar at the                                            University of Victoria’s School of Public Health and Social Policy

Corporations use our money to lobby against our wellbeing

Both the COP16 global conference on biodiversity and the COP29 global conference on climate change have seen large numbers of corporate lobbyists working to delay action to protect their profits

Dr. Trevor Hancock

19 November 2024

702 words

It’s global conference season, and once again the corporate sector is spending huge amounts of money – money that comes from us when we purchase their products and services – to lobby for their own special interests. There are two big problems with this.

The first is that corporate interests often do not align with the public interest. Corporations exist to make profits and to return those profits to their shareholders. There are decades, indeed centuries of experience that show us that corporations are more than happy to make money by producing and selling unhealthy or dangerous products, polluting and damaging the environment, exploiting their workers, harming communities and undermining democracy.

The second problem is the dramatic imbalance between corporate power and the power of civil society organisations that are acting in the public interest to protect our wellbeing, our environment, our communities, workers and our democracy. While corporations are immensely wealthy and have large workforces devoted to their lobbying work, civil society organisations are often struggling to raise funds, and depend often on volunteers.

These two problems are highlighted in the recently completed COP16 global conference on biodiversity and the current COP29 global conference on climate change. Both have seen large numbers of corporate lobbyists working, for the most part, to obfuscate discussions and delay action so as to protect their business opportunities and profits.

“Representatives of business and industry groups more than doubled at the UN’s latest biodiversity summit”, according to DeSmog, an international organisation that exposes environmental misinformation campaigns. This increase was proportionally much greater than the 46 percent increase in overall attendance.

Of the 1,261 corporate delegates they counted – and these numbers are an underestimate, DeSmog admits, because its methodology is conservative – the largest number, 124, were from banks. This included “more than half of the 30 banks named as the biggest financiers of deforestation” in an October report from Forests and Finance. That report found that banks have invested $395 billion in deforestation since the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change.

There were also large numbers of delegates from the fossil fuel industry and big food and agriculture firms, as well as from the agrochemical and seed companies and the pharmaceutical industry – the latter intent on avoiding a tax on their use of genetic data from nature; Bayer alone brought 12 delegates, more than some countries. In addition, big tech is showing an interest in biodiversity because of the large data needs for monitoring biodiversity.

To make matters worse, Canada – along with Brazil, Mexico and Switzerland – included corporate representatives and their lobby groups in their national delegation, “lending pesticides and biotechnology representatives direct access to negotiations”, noted DeSmog. Unsurprisingly, environmental NGOs were concerned: In a related article in the Guardian, Oscar Soria, director of the Common Initiative thinktank, observed: “We certainly saw a stronger lobbying push for policies that favour agricultural productivity, and that clashed with the conservation goals and the position of civil society.”

Meanwhile, over in Baku, Azerbaijan, the 29th Conference of the Parties to the UN Climate Change treaty is underway. And surprise, surprise, the fossil fuel industry is there in strength too. The Kick Big Polluters Out coalition reported there are at least 1,773 fossil fuel lobbyists, more than nearly every country and more than “all the delegates from the 10 most climate-vulnerable nations combined.”

Describing fossil fuel advocates as having a “chokehold” on international climate diplomacy, Caroline Brouillette, executive director of Climate Action Network Canada, told Canada’s National Observer it’s time to “free COPs from the influence of big polluters”.

Lobbying by the private sector, using our money to lobby against our interests, has to stop. As I noted a couple of weeks ago, Canada barred corporate interests from the development of the new Canada Food Guide. It’s time to expand that approach more broadly.

If it can’t be stopped, here is another suggestion that would level the playing field: For every dollar they spend on lobbying, the corporate sector must give one dollar to authentic civil society organisations (not those set up and surreptitiously funded by the corporate sector). In addition, they should fund one delegate from those organisations and one delegate from a low-income country for every delegate they bring.

© Trevor Hancock, 2024

thancock@uvic.ca

Dr. Trevor Hancock is a retired professor and senior scholar at the

University of Victoria’s School of Public Health and Social Policy

What a Trump presidency might mean for the planet

Trump’s planned changes could increase the likelihood of a global economic downturn, war, worsening overheating, food crisis, pandemics, failed states, mass violence and humanitarian disasters

Dr. Trevor Hancock

12 November 2024

699 words

Thanks to tens of millions of Americans who just voted to turn the American Dream into the American Nightmare, we now have to deal with the consequences of a second Trump Presidency.

Let’s be clear: Donald Trump is not only a fascist who is a threat to democracy in America, as two former Generals – one his Chief of Staff, the other a former chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff – and others have said, he is also a thoroughly disgusting human being: Racist, sexist, a convicted felon about to be sentenced, an adjudicated rapist, a convicted libeller, a compulsive liar, a fraudster, a bully – the list goes on and on.

As President, he will “endanger public health and safety and reject evidence, preferring instead nonsensical conspiracy fantasies” and will “ignore the climate crisis in favor of more pollution”, according to the editors of Scientific American, who for only the second time in their 179-year history endorsed a candidate for President – and it wasn’t Donald Trump.

Trump and his sinister oligarch backers have a plan – Project 2025 – to dismantle key elements of the state, which will be against the best interests of many of those who voted for him. Of particular concern to me, as a public health physician, is the Scientific American editors’ observation that “Trump plans billion-dollar budget cuts to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the National Institutes of Health, and has “talked about ending the Office of Pandemic Preparedness and Response Policy.”

To knowingly elect such a person as President beggars belief. That America has succeeded in raising a credulous population who cannot tell lies from truth, fiction from fact, distorted conspiracy theories from reality – or worse, who can differentiate but lack the moral compass to care about that, or about the massive moral failings of Trump – is surely the sign of a deeply flawed and failed state. 

However, beyond those largely domestic concerns that Americans must now deal with, Trump is also a massive threat to the rest of the world, a clear and present danger we all must deal with, as a report from the Cascade Institute published a month before the presidential election made clear.

The Institute, led by Thomas Homer-Dixon at Royal Roads University, “addresses the full range of humanity’s converging environmental, economic, political, technological, and health crises.” Using complex systems science approaches, they seek to anticipate future crises and identify opportunities for intervention.

In their report, Impact 2024, the authors consider the likely impact of a Trump presidency on “today’s highly perturbed global systems.” As a highly unpredictable systems disruptor, Trump as President would “make extreme outcomes more probable”, they concluded.

Specifically, they see a high likelihood of a trade war, a medium to high likelihood of triggering an arms race; a medium likelihood of ‘authoritarian contagion’ – “enabling further corruption and authoritarianism within the United States”, an economic downturn and xenophobia, and a low to medium likelihood of a weakening of multi-lateralism if Trump were to withdraw the US from the Paris Climate Agreement, the World Health Organization, and other UN agencies.

Moreover, they report, these and other changes triggered by Trump “could then interact to severely escalate the current global polycrisis”, including the possibility of a global economic downturn, a Great Power war, worsening global overheating, a global food crisis, global pandemics, failed states, mass violence and humanitarian disasters.

In an Addendum one week before the election, the Institute wrote, troublingly, that further developments since their original analysis indicated that “our initial analysis generally underestimated the inter-systemic risks of a second Trump presidency.”

The risks we face are already significant, the authors note: “In coming years, humanity’s collective predicament is likely to worsen regardless of the US election’s outcome, because global stresses are rising relentlessly.” Trump’s election just makes things worse, makes things less stable, in a situation where “global systems . . . are already fragile and vulnerable.”

This is not to say all this will come about: “The worst”, the report states, “is far from inevitable.” Much depends on whether, in the face of the polycrisis and the challenges posed by a Trump presidency, “we choose to come together or fall apart.”

© Trevor Hancock, 2024

thancock@uvic.ca

Dr. Trevor Hancock is a retired professor and senior scholar at the

University of Victoria’s School of Public Health and Social Policy

We need to investigate the links between the chemical industry and governments

Health Canada and its Pesticide Management Regulatory Agency see industry and its trade secrets as more worthy of protection than the health of Canadians and their environment

Dr. Trevor Hancock

5 November 2024

700 words

Over forty years ago, in the early 1980s, I co-led a major report on ‘Our Chemical Society’ for the City of Toronto’s Department of Public Health. In it we sought to step back from what we called the ‘chemical of the day’ problem – so many chemicals of concern, so many requests to look at them, one by one – to take a broader and more in-depth look at the systemic challenges of living in a society literally perfused with human-made chemicals.

We also raised concerns about the relationship between government regulators and the chemical industry. I vividly recall, on more than one occasion, commenting that Health Canada’s Health Protection Branch should be re-named the Industry Protection Branch, because it seemed more focused on protecting the chemical industry than protecting public health.

What brought this decades-old report back to my mind was the recent exposé by Marc Fawcett-Atkinson in Canada’s National Observer of the unethical shenanigans at Health Canada’s Pesticide Management Regulatory Agency (PMRA). In a series of articles in recent weeks, and as far back as a year ago, he has documented the agency’s failings, noting that “Since 2020 alone, that agency has been called out for colluding with pesticide companies, attempting to increase pesticide residue limits on food and failing to release data needed to assess pesticide risk.”

Specifically, in an October 17th article he reported that the PMRA “collaborated with an agrochemical giant to undermine research by a prominent Canadian scientist to stave off an impending ban of a class of pesticides harmful to human brains and sperm and deadly to bees, insects and birds.”

That agrochemical giant was Bayer, which in 2021 had proposed a doubling of the allowable limit of glyphosate, a widely used pesticide, in some food products; a request that the PMRA accepted. But as professors Marc-André Gagnon and Marie-Hélène Bacon noted in a November 2023 article in the Canadian Medical Association Journal, the basis for that decision was shrouded in secrecy, under the guise of confidential business information; clearly it is still the case that Health Canada and its PMRA see industry and its trade secrets as more worthy of protection than the health of Canadians and their environment.  

That was very clear to Parliament’s Standing Committee on the Environment and Sustainable Development in its comprehensive report on pesticides in 2000. The Committee stated it was “seriously concerned about the divergent goals of the PMRA” to both promote the agricultural industry and to safeguard health and the environment, noting that “To a certain extent, the PMRA is already a captive of the pesticide industry.”

You would think that might have led to some significant changes – and you would be wrong. Almost quarter of a century later, in June 2023, Bruce Lanphear – a distinguished environmental health scientist at Simon Fraser University and a member of the Lancet Commission on Pollution and Health – resigned as co-chair of the Scientific Advisory Committee of the PMRA. In his resignation letter he wrote:

“Should industry representatives – who have a clear and undeniable financial conflict of interest – be allowed to serve on the Pest Management Advisory Council? Absolutely not. . . .  I worry that the Scientific Advisory Committee – and my role as a co-chair – provides a false sense of security that the PMRA is protecting Canadians from toxic pesticides. Based on my experience over the past year, I cannot provide that assurance.”

It seems to me there is something rotten in the state of PMRA. Moreover, this is just the tip of the iceberg, symptomatic of a far wider problem; the close and unhealthy ties between industries that harm health and the environment and the federal and provincial governments. Whether it be the chemical, plastics, fossil fuel, agriculture or extractive industries, they exert an undue influence over public policy, extracting counter-productive subsidies, tax breaks and other benefits, while hiding behind ‘confidential business information’, and in the process undermining democracy.

At a time when we are crossing six of nine key planetary boundaries, we really need to look at and work to change the way those ties operate. Perhaps it is time for a Senate or Parliamentary inquiry, or at the very least, a complaint to the Integrity Commissioner.  

© Trevor Hancock, 2024

thancock@uvic.ca

Dr. Trevor Hancock is a retired professor and senior scholar at the

University of Victoria’s School of Public Health and Social Policy